Important stock market tops - part 2

Continuing a series.

The 1946 top doesn't get the attention of 1929, and admittedly was taken out about 4 years later. But at the time was nothing to sneeze at with -25% and 4 years before coming back to even. I find the historical context also interesting - global war over, Depression over, USA on top, and yet market rallies less than a year after the end of WWII and then stops cold? 

Quarterly chart gives Bollinger band divergence high with RSI overbought, OK - let's keep in mind this occurred many times after 1946. 

11 1 INDU Q 1946.png

Failing to sustain above the previous 1936 high seems to have been a factor in the drop.

Monthly chart shows the Bollinger band and RSI divergence more clearly. 

11 3 INDU M 1946.png

Weekly long term pivots chart shows rejection of YR1 and subsequent break of 2HP. The lows that mattered in 1948 and 1949 were on YS1s FWIW. 

Sum - totally different top than the blowoff 1929. This was really a test of a high in a range which failed. It is easy in hindsight to say Bollinger band and RSI divergence, but that happens many times without a subsequent drop. It is a combination of factors on quarterly, monthly and pivots that can help identify this as a major top.