The amount of indexes or ETFs that turned from long term levels - by this I mean yearly or half-year pivots - is rather amazing. These weeks are rare. The odds favor more on the bounce, but how far it gets we shall see - and use the shorter term pivots, especially the FebPs which will be in play in about a week - to gauge the strength. Of course all the levels below that broke and recovered by the weekly close will have to hold.
All charts weekly with year and half-year levels only (no quarterly or monthly). Listing comments first, then the charts. If you get confused to which is which, look for the light grey watermark of sorts identifying the index / ETF.
This post has gotten quite long, and I still didn't cover two categories - currencies and commodities namely, oil. I will do another post on that soon, but check the recent blog post on oil that pointed to the key level YS1 a day before the low!
USA mains stock indexes & ETFs
SPX / SPY / ES - all broke YS1s & 1HS1s, but recovered on close (hard to see 1HS1 on chart b/c so close to YS1)
NDX / QQQ / NQ - low on NDX near exact, QQQ disparate structure ie not on YS1, NQ more like ES
INDU / DIA - lows on YS1 & 1HS1 combo
RTY / IWM held YS2 / 1HS2 combo area. (Note: these two charts added on 1/27.)
NYA - recovered YS1, but still a fraction under 1HS1
USA additional stock indexes & ETFs
IBB - weaker bounce off YS1
SOXX - better move up from 1HS1. The Pivotal Perspective prefers SOXX over IBB here.
XLE - also YS1 low and recovery of 1HS1
XLF - I don't know what to make of pivots this year due to massive 8/24 spike, so not showing here
Safe havens & risk indicators
TYX - just slightly below its YP; recovery would put in back in congestion zone above YP but below 1HP; below YP remains bearish yield and bullish bonds.
TNX - rebounded from 1HS1
TLT - high on 1HR1 near exact
ZB - high on YR1 / 1HR1 combo, but could be pause and not rejection.
ZN - also high on YR1 / 1HR1 combo, but also perhaps pause and not rejection.
HYG - low on 1HS1
VIX - poked above, but did not close above, the YP for the last 2 weeks. decent reversal from the YP although some may point to closing below the low of last week as confirmation, which hasn't happened yet.
XIV - near test of YS1, no official tag however
GLD - rather awful that GLD could not climb above 1HP in all the turmoil
Global stock ETFs
EWJ - held YS1 and 1HS1
EWG - held YS1 and 1HS1
FXI - holding 1HS1 but not much green
EEM - similar to FXI
PIN - low on 1HS1 exact
RSX - low on YS1 and decent bounce along with oil
ACWI - global benchmark ETF, also low on YS1 & 1HS1 combo