Weekly strategy update

Judgment based on the close, but for now:

ES needs to hold 1925 its FebP. Anything below that would be first warning sign of trouble.

Also, yesterday I mentioned that it would be better for VIX to confirm strength by dropping under its QP of 19.27. So far that hasn't happened. 

The point on both of these is that a bearish move back under SPY / ES FebPs, along with INDU / VTI would mean cut recent longs and add shorts. List of short possibilities means anything that stayed completely under its FebP without even tagging: QQQ IWM IBB XLF and possibly NKY / EWJ or DAX / EWG.

GLD - I may have erred on the partial take yesterday. To be clear, I pointed out gold in late January and that main portion I think is worth holding, but any adds after the YP clear on 2/3-4 were the judgment call. Above its WP 116.97 would be short term bullish; then if GLD clears its YR1 again then I think worth having a full position. To watch. I haven't talked much about GDX, mostly but not exactly correlated, then I mentioned yesterday that it was doing fine. 

RSX, EWZ, EEM. These are fading a bit today along with the market, oil and $USD strength. EWZ in particular tagged FebR1 and now back under. As I type ACWI is dropping back under its FebP, so a close under that level would help point to taking some gains off the table on these quick squeeze ideas. EEM more tied to China and it hasn't done too much. 

BTCUSD is pulling back from its FebR1. It would be better above, but if markets start to slide again, or trouble in China, then maybe BTCUSD will explode higher. Buy on 2/16 near 407 just cannot become a huge loss so i think worth giving it room.