Safe havens

Sum
Expectation of safe haven weakness from last week's quarterly and monthly chart analysis, in combination with both TLT and GLD opening below Q4Ps, have played out. Both had fast drops down to 2HPs. Maybe these bounce but TLT barely up with stocks down means I think break more likely. VIX and XIV continue to be supportive of stocks. 

TLT
Last week's note "weekly chart with wick vulnerable to drop" and wham all the way down to 2HP. Maybe this holds but lower high in place and I'm thinking break more likely. 
Clear as day drop from Q4P and below OctP on 10/3 and then sharply lower from there. OK there is some support here (2HP, Q3S1 already nearby) but watch YR1 to act as support or resistance as well.
By the time of 10/3 bar, TLT was falling from a downward sloping 50MA (purple) as well. Looks like test of rising D200MA, the first touch since 1/11/16.

GLD
Painful gap down for those not paying attention to GLD below monthly pivots, then below QP (Q4) for the first time in months, MAs rolling over and then no bounce from D100. Test of 2HP and D200MA which brings in roughly in line with TLT technically.

GDX
Think about this combination: YR2 resistance (could be YR3, YR1, principal similar), then below QP / monthly P, and downward sloping MAs. Don't be stuck long in that situation without a stop. Also, shorting is tough game because money is looking to buy something, and while shorting at red resistance levels is enticing usually it is easier when you have at least a quarterly pivot acting as resistance and then downward sloping MA would be a better setup too.

VIX
VIX below all pivots is not worried. I don't like the 3rd time above a rising D50 though. Still if higher then likely resistance at Q4P / OctP combo. Above that would be trouble. 

XIV
Weekly chart between levels, daily above all pivots and rising MAs. Looks fine. If lower then OctP and rising D50 are support.